Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.006449 0.007440 0.008600 0.010073 0.011920 0.014193 0.017258
2025-10-26 0.005134 0.006342 0.007902 0.010124 0.013312 0.017907 0.025418
2025-11-02 0.004326 0.005575 0.007292 0.009933 0.014105 0.020886 0.033908
2025-11-09 0.003689 0.004891 0.006617 0.009417 0.014165 0.022639 0.041261
2025-11-16 0.003245 0.004401 0.006119 0.009035 0.014287 0.024477 0.049958
2025-11-23 0.003009 0.004177 0.005976 0.009178 0.015342 0.028506 0.067115
2025-11-30 0.002757 0.003894 0.005694 0.009017 0.015763 0.031363 0.084161
2025-12-07 0.002519 0.003606 0.005365 0.008708 0.015793 0.033321 0.100866
2025-12-14 0.002347 0.003406 0.005157 0.008586 0.016188 0.036433 0.127208
2025-12-21 0.002264 0.003342 0.005171 0.008895 0.017655 0.043441 0.188555
2025-12-28 0.002211 0.003320 0.005257 0.009361 0.019666 0.053707 0.311899
2026-01-04 0.002119 0.003223 0.005192 0.009497 0.020866 0.062183 0.478911
2026-01-11 0.001987 0.003055 0.004996 0.009354 0.021397 0.069240 0.725624
2026-01-18 0.001888 0.002940 0.004891 0.009410 0.022591 0.081133 1.358251
2026-01-25 0.001777 0.002792 0.004704 0.009238 0.023020 0.089977 2.415938
2026-02-01 0.001649 0.002603 0.004416 0.008770 0.022317 0.091626 3.417798
2026-02-08 0.001544 0.002451 0.004189 0.008424 0.021942 0.095337 5.567420
2026-02-15 0.001492 0.002393 0.004150 0.008554 0.023351 0.114317 26.257774
2026-02-22 0.001420 0.002293 0.004015 0.008408 0.023675 0.125951 176.729665
2026-03-01 0.001344 0.002180 0.003840 0.008127 0.023377 0.131962 5870.539366
2026-03-08 0.001287 0.002100 0.003731 0.008016 0.023757 0.146232 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001264 0.002084 0.003761 0.008296 0.025981 0.189557 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001251 0.002088 0.003833 0.008720 0.029158 0.265947 NaN